Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001445 0.001533 0.001625 0.001726 0.001835 0.001949 0.002078
2025-02-16 0.001350 0.001480 0.001619 0.001779 0.001960 0.002158 0.002392
2025-02-23 0.001249 0.001402 0.001570 0.001771 0.002006 0.002271 0.002596
2025-03-02 0.001149 0.001314 0.001500 0.001727 0.001999 0.002316 0.002717
2025-03-09 0.001074 0.001248 0.001448 0.001697 0.002003 0.002368 0.002842
2025-03-16 0.001025 0.001207 0.001422 0.001694 0.002035 0.002452 0.003006
2025-03-23 0.000975 0.001162 0.001387 0.001676 0.002046 0.002507 0.003134
2025-03-30 0.000936 0.001129 0.001363 0.001670 0.002069 0.002576 0.003282
2025-04-06 0.000893 0.001088 0.001327 0.001647 0.002067 0.002612 0.003385
2025-04-13 0.000853 0.001049 0.001292 0.001620 0.002060 0.002638 0.003474
2025-04-20 0.000803 0.000995 0.001236 0.001565 0.002011 0.002605 0.003478
2025-04-27 0.000786 0.000983 0.001233 0.001578 0.002053 0.002697 0.003662
2025-05-04 0.000767 0.000969 0.001229 0.001594 0.002105 0.002811 0.003892
2025-05-11 0.000764 0.000976 0.001253 0.001649 0.002214 0.003012 0.004267
2025-05-18 0.000738 0.000952 0.001235 0.001644 0.002237 0.003089 0.004458
2025-05-25 0.000703 0.000913 0.001193 0.001604 0.002207 0.003087 0.004526
2025-06-01 0.000674 0.000882 0.001162 0.001577 0.002194 0.003108 0.004630
2025-06-08 0.000655 0.000864 0.001148 0.001574 0.002216 0.003183 0.004825
2025-06-15 0.000633 0.000841 0.001126 0.001558 0.002217 0.003225 0.004967
2025-06-22 0.000615 0.000823 0.001111 0.001552 0.002233 0.003291 0.005152
2025-06-29 0.000594 0.000800 0.001087 0.001531 0.002225 0.003316 0.005268
2025-07-06 0.000573 0.000776 0.001062 0.001507 0.002210 0.003330 0.005365
2025-07-13 0.000546 0.000742 0.001020 0.001456 0.002151 0.003268 0.005323